there's a study from the uc santa barbara that 11 people have switched, obama in '08, romney in 12, versus one that switched the other way. which, however you believe it, the paper's influence the electorate or not, it reflects what all of us know. we all know people who were for the republicans in '08 and who have not shifted. we know almost none who have shifted, but we know a lot of people who were for obama in '08 who have shifted and that's going to determine the election, how many of them are there? if there are three out of 53, romney wins. >> megyn: charles, thank you. >> bret: a live look now at president obama speaking in cincinnati, ohio, we're going to listen to a little bit of the president now. if you'd like to watch the entire event it's going to be streaming on foxnews.com, as we listen in here, the crowd is cheering four more years, the president speaking in cincinnati, a state, that both campaigns say will likely determine this election. we'll be right back. >> but on the east coast where we've seen our folks who are going through some incredible difficulties, there are t